By Gary S. Vasilash

Electric vehicles aren’t cheap.

According to the most-recent figures from Kelley Blue Book, the average transaction price for an EV in October was $51,762. (Silver lining? Down 7.4% compared to the price in October 2022.)

The average transaction price for a non-luxury vehicle—arguably the type of vehicle that the average person buys—was $44,331 in October.

That’s a difference of $7,431. Or to go from the non-lux vehicle to the EV a ~17% increase.

Non-trivial.

The big cost in an EV is the battery. It can represent 40% or more of the sticker.

So one thing vehicle manufacturers are working on is reducing the price of the battery.

One of the ways they’re doing this is by using batteries with less-costly materials.

Right now the (more or less) standard type of battery chemistry is NMC, or lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide. The key things to know are the nickel and the cobalt, as these are the pricey ones.

There is another chemistry, LFP, or lithium iron phosphate. Iron and phosphorus are a lot cheaper than nickel and cobalt.

What’s more, the manufacturing process to make LFP batteries is simpler, which also contributes to a lower price.

However, LFP batteries have less energy density than NMC batteries. Which means less range for the same-size battery.

Additionally, LFP batteries don’t charge as readily in cold environments.

But there’s a price difference of about 30%, so perhaps the downsides of LFP are not a concern for those who are looking for affordability.

Stellantis and CATL, the leading producer of batteries for EVs, have signed a strategic memorandum of understanding (MoU) for the supply of battery cells and modules to the vehicle manufacturer’s operations—in Europe.

For LFP battery cells and modules.

The interesting thing is this:

Carlos Tavares, Stellantis CEO, rationalized the arrangement by saying, “This MoU with CATL on LFP battery chemistry is another ingredient in our long-term strategy to protect freedom of mobility for the European middle class.”

Have you ever heard a U.S. automotive exec specifically say they’re developing EVs for the middle class?

Until that is the stated objective, odds are it’s not going to happen. And there will continue to be that double-digit percentage difference between the cost of an EV and a non-luxury car.

Yes, Ford, for example, is working with CATL on the now-reduced-scope battery plant that will be built in Marshall, Michigan, and yes, Ford has said that the LFP batteries that will be built there will be less expensive than the NMC batteries it offers, but the market is still waiting for a true middle class EV from Ford (i.e., the least-expensive F-150 Lightning that a consumer can buy right now is $54,995 and the median price for a Mustang Mach-E is $46,995).

Perhaps the cooling in the EV market is explained by the simple fact that the vehicles available, for the most part, are simply too expensive for the middle class buyer.